‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ Aiming to Break Box-Office Record and Dethrone Original ‘Deadpool’ With Projected $200M-$239M Opening

‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ is one of the, if not the most important movie releasing this summer. The movie is Deadpool’s first foray into the MCU and the studio’s attempt to “right some wrongs” that were plaguing their production over the last several years.

A recently released list of 2023 box office losers, put Disney at the top of the list, as it was the first year in a long time that the major media company did not have a billion-dollar movie. ‘The Marvels’ was a catastrophic release for the company, resulting in eye-watering losses.

The first indication that ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ is expecting a positive box office was the presale of tickets which broke several records and now early box-office projections made confident claims that ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ will break records for the biggest R-rated opening, the title held by the first ‘Deadpool’ installment.

The movie has received a six-week tracking projection of $200M-$239M according to Deadline, which is considered conservative. Historically, no R-rated movie has opened to $200M, with the current record held by the original ‘Deadpool’ at $132.4M. Even a $150M opening for ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ would surpass both Ryan Reynolds’ and Hugh Jackman’s previous records, as well as potentially becoming the highest opening of the summer, ahead of Disney/Pixar’s ‘Inside Out 2’ expected $120M-$130M debut.

The movie also has the highest Premium Large Format (PLF) score at 28% for the summer, indicating strong audience interest in seeing it in premium formats. Tracking numbers for men are reportedly higher than those for ‘Spider-Man: No Way Home’ at the same point before release; that film had the second-highest domestic opening ever at $260.1M. Projections for ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ could potentially increase.

We just might have the first Disney billion-dollar movie in a long(ish) time. Have something to add? Let us know in the comments below!

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